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First Eagle Reflections | 2024-2025 Edition

  • ,  Senior Investment Writer |
  • 19 Feb 2025

First Eagle

A legacy of stewardship

  • Established in 1864, we’ve navigated diverse market cycles and disruptive events.
  • While 2024 showed strong performance, uncertainty remains a key concern.
  • Our investment teams provide insights into current risks, opportunities, and their focus on long-term, risk-adjusted results.


When We Two Parted

  • US-China economic bonds are increasingly strained, yet the US adapts well.
  • Matt McLennan and Kimball Brooker explore how this shift may create opportunities in differentiated risk and returns.


Homing in on Residential Real Estate Debt

  • High home prices and mortgage rates support long-term housing market trends.
  • Rajesh Agarwal and Tim Ruberti discuss the favorable environment for private real estate lending opportunities.


The Tide Is High

  • Small cap stocks have underperformed, but factors are aligning to trigger growth:
    • Lower interest rates, improved earnings growth, and stronger M&A activity.
  • Bill Hench discusses the potential for small caps to rebound.


Let the Circle Be Unbroken

  • Direct lending volumes are recovering, but a surge in deal activity is yet to materialize.
  • Michelle Handy and Larry Klaff highlight how private lenders may thrive through cash-flow loans and asset-based lending for attractive returns.


Breaking Ground in Search of Hidden Gems

  • The municipal bond market showed signs of recovery in 2024, with potential continued growth in 2025.
  • John Miller explores nonrated municipal bonds, offering a differentiated investment approach.